A
Cup of the Hudson Next to Your Plate
Why are we going
to drink from a river whose fish are not safe to eat? The answer’s
not very complicated. Too many people and not enough water. The
water company was ordered by the State to find additional resources
as part of the agreement to allow the rate increase it was
requesting. An obvious solution to the problem—throw the brakes on
in places like Ramapo where growth is dangerously out of control—was
not only disregarded, United Water’s alternative will probably
exacerbate the growth that is urbanizing the town. Now that
developers can claim the problem will be solved (in 2015), the
Ramapo Master Plan to create the Ramapo Megaburb can proceed.
One Expert’s
Reaction
Nicholas
Christie-Blick is Professor of Earth and Environmental Sciences at
the Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University.
Professor Blick co-authored a study titled Water Shortages,
Development, and Drought in Rockland County with Bradfield Lyon
and Yekaterina Gluzberg (published in the Journal of the American
Water Resources).
What follows are
Dr. Christie-Blick’s initial observations to the proposal by United
Water.
"UWNY has been
talking about this option for several years. They are forced into it
because reprocessing sewage will be an even harder sell. (The output
from the Western Ramapo plant will go into the river before being
extracted again from shallow wells in Pleistocene gravels. There is
no such convenient option in the rest of Rockland with an equivalent
shut-down capability.)"
"I think that
the biggest challenges for a desalination plant may be contaminants
not removed in purification, and the fact that the output will go
directly into the domestic supply, into Lake DeForest or into
storage wells. So the potential exists to stuff up the entire water
supply."
"Given the price
tag of the Western Ramapo plant, I suspect that the $79 million is
on the low side. Also, no mention is made of the cost of the energy
demand for the desalination process, or the impact of either the
initial investment or running costs on the price of water in
Rockland. The recent large hike pays for little more than cosmetic
tinkering to the water supply, with an emphasis on summer peak
demand."
"With regard to
output, 7.5 MGD is modest. The (daily) demand in Rockland is 28-29
MGD. Since 90% of 300,000 residents are supplied by UWNY, that works
out at ~100 gallons per person per day. 7.5 MGD serves 75,000
people, on average. However, as UWNY knows, the problem is peak
demand (~45 MGD), especially during times of deficient rainfall (say
every 3-5 years). So, since the peak demand will also scale with
population, the additional supply is probably good for no more than
an extra 50,000 people. Bear in mind that we already need water
restrictions with as little as 6 months of deficient rainfall."
"Beyond the cost
to the consumer, yet to be estimated, and as pointed out in the
[Journal News] article, the promise of desalination in the eyes of
developers, local politicians and the general public may be a more
or less limitless supply. If we can process 7.5 MGD, then let's
build an even bigger plant when we need one. As the folks at
Preserve Ramapo will be happy to explain to you, we are already
moving too rapidly from a rural/suburban county to a congested city.
Since the Ramapo town board continues to be responsible for the
largest population increases in Rockland’s largest town, and no town
board shows any sign of standing in the path of developers, the
prospects for runaway growth and a burgeoning demand for water are
rather good."
"Among the
devils in details not discussed by Laura Incalcaterra [in her
Journal article] are the security of the domestic water supply and
cost. What is needed, I believe, is a mechanism for linking
development to the real cost of augmenting the water supply (and
other infrastructure actually). If all new construction was whacked
with a surcharge, then it would immediately become much less
attractive to put up new buildings. Among the absurdities of the
present arrangement is that county residents are forced to subsidize
the profits of the developers."
--Nicholas
Christie-Blick
[Editor’s note:
Professor Christie-Blick explained to us that he offers these
comments "in the context of the issues raised rather than firm
conclusions about what UWNY has in mind." He will, no doubt, have to
more to say on the subject when he returns from New Zealand and is
able to study the company’s formal proposal.
You can read the
Journal News article United Water proposes desalination plant
along the Hudson River
here.
—Michael
Castelluccio]